Frozen forecast archive · corrected 30 July 2026

2026 World Cup Quarter-final Forecast Archive

Before the tournament, quarter-final matchups are conditional branches rather than known fixtures.

Evidence status: legacy numeric claims withdrawn where no retained input table, raw output or version record exists.

What this page can support

A sound projection should show the path assumptions that create each matchup and avoid describing one simulated branch as the likely official bracket.

Evidence checklist

  1. List the qualification and round-of-32 branches used.
  2. Keep team and matchup probabilities separate.
  3. Record which injuries or roster facts were unknown.
  4. Freeze the page rather than updating it into the observed bracket.

Limit of the archive

The previous page did not preserve its branch table or raw outputs, so its exact percentages were withdrawn.

A forecast and an official result are different records. The forecast must remain dated and frozen; the result should come from the competition organiser.

Verify the tournament outcome

Use FIFA's official fixtures, results and final standings when you need the authoritative match record.

Open FIFA fixtures and results · Open final standings