Frozen forecast archive · corrected 30 July 2026

2026 World Cup Knockout Forecast Archive

Knockout forecasts are path-dependent: the opponent, venue, recovery window and match state can matter as much as a team rating.

Evidence status: legacy numeric claims withdrawn where no retained input table, raw output or version record exists.

What this page can support

A bracket projection should state when the bracket was frozen, whether third-place qualifiers were known and how extra time and penalties were represented.

Why bracket forecasts compound uncertainty

Every projected opponent depends on an earlier result. That means uncertainty in the group stage and round of 32 flows into later rounds before team strength, injuries, rest or match state are considered.

A useful archive keeps the original branch visible; it does not replace a missed matchup with the teams that later advanced.

Evidence checklist

  1. Date and freeze every bracket version.
  2. Separate regulation, extra-time and shootout assumptions.
  3. Record missing lineup and availability information.
  4. Compare the frozen forecast with official results only after the event.

Limit of the archive

The legacy page did not retain enough versioned inputs to support its former simulation language. It now documents the bracket-specific evidence standard and directs readers to the organiser for official results.

Verify the tournament outcome

Use FIFA's official fixtures, results and final standings when you need the authoritative match record.

Open FIFA fixtures and results · Open final standings